a consensus of credible media reporting. For the purposes of settlement, The selections in this market will resolve as "Win" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate before the stated dates. Otherwise, the selections will resolve as "Lose". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by American military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an American missile, the selection(s) will resolve as "Win").. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Win" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
